Kevin Warsh at the IMF, Fed Rate Hold Expectations, and Treasury Yield Reversal

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Have bond yields peaked? Why the 10-year fell after a hot PPI report 📺 Have bond yields peaked? Why the 10-year fell after a hot PPI report ⏱ 3:04📅 2026/10/16 16:05

Kevin Warsh at the IMF, Fed Rate Hold Expectations, and Treasury Yield Reversal

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Discussion of Kevin Warsh's remarks at the IMF meetings in Bangkok and the market's response, including Fed rate expectations, inflation data, and Treasury yield movements. It examines why the 10-year yield reversed lower after a hot PPI print and whether bond yields have peaked.

■ Fed Commentary and Rate Expectations
- Kevin Warsh's IMF remarks in Bangkok and lack of policy guidance
- October Fed rate-hold odds rising to 85% after a Bloomberg headline

■ Inflation Data and Treasury Yields
- Hot PPI following hot CPI
- 10-year yield spiking then falling from 5.35% to 5.00%
- Debate over peak yields and large bond investors returning

■ Cash, Dividends, and Fixed Income
- Cash yields around 5.35% and cash as an asset
- Dividend yields vs. 10-year Treasuries around 5.25%, with Chevron, Philip Morris, and Verizon cited as higher-yielding examples

For investors tracking Fed policy, inflation data, and fixed-income or dividend strategies. It provides an overview of the rate-hold debate, recent yield moves, and the comparative income case for cash, dividend equities, and Treasuries. Viewers can use it to frame their own review of bond exposure and income allocations.

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