📺 Stephen Roach: Xi May Be Using Trump Summits to Buy Time
A discussion examining U.S.–China diplomacy under the Trump administration, the durability of deal-based engagement with Beijing, and the broader risks heading into 2027. The conversation covers recent and planned summits, AI and semiconductor policy, U.S. domestic politics, and the war in Ukraine.
■ U.S.–China summits and deal-making
- Reliability of commitments and the meaning of "strategic" framing
- Beijing's objectives and concerns about its economy
- Chinese versus American business delegations and corporate involvement
■ Technology competition
- AI cooperation, safety hotlines, and differing risk narratives
- Export controls on advanced chips and China's push for self-reliance
■ Domestic politics and the 2027 outlook
- Midterm polling and the possibility of a Democratic wave
- Inflation, AI market vulnerabilities, and challenges to election outcomes
■ Ukraine and Russia
- A proposed trilateral summit and the absence of European leaders and Zelenskyy
This discussion suits viewers following U.S.–China relations, technology policy, and electoral risk. It offers a structured overview of how the participants frame leverage, trust, and near-term scenarios rather than a detailed forecast.
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