US Leverage, Iran, and Russia: A More Modular Middle East

An interview with Jonathan Panikov of the Atlantic Council examines how a more modular Middle East may reduce but not eliminate Washington’s leverage, with Iran as a central test case. The conversation assesses prospects for renewed conflict versus a negotiated settlement after the midterms and considers whether Russia-Iran cooperation could become more strategic. It also connects these dynamics to US policy toward Russia and Ukraine and to European concerns about escalation.

■ Middle East and US leverage
- Modular regional order and limits of US influence
- Iran policy choices: renewed conflict or negotiated settlement
- Mediation efforts and current diplomatic progress

■ Russia, Iran, and Europe
- Possible shift from tactical to strategic Russia-Iran cooperation
- Russian anti-aircraft support to Iran as a scenario under discussion
- US posture toward Russia and Ukraine, including European reactions

The discussion is suited to viewers seeking a concise strategic overview of Middle East and US-Russia-Iran dynamics. It offers analytical framing and key questions rather than operational details or predictions, helping viewers follow debates about leverage, escalation, and alliance relationships.